Erin Update

Friday 8/15 7:30pm
A quick update on Erin...
Earlier today, Erin made it to hurricane strength. Nothing overly impressive and this system has really taken a while to get its act together. It was looking very disorganized for a while but currently is starting to form into that classic hurricane shape.

We are now at about the 6-7 day range for this storm, and I put a little more trust in the models at this point. I will give it until late Sunday to early Monday before I give a concrete forecast on this.
As of now, as we have been talking about all along, Erin will likely pass well offshore and out to sea to the point that we might get a few stray 20-30mph wind gusts. The surf will be up, and maritime impacts will be moderate to significant depending on how far out you go, but I don't even thing we will see a raindrop from Erin.

We will on the other hand, probably have a rain maker storm from the west that will sneak in late Wednesday that will be the helper to push Erin out to sea.

There are still people on social media platforms out there posting doomsday images of tracks coming into the coast and I have even seen a couple professionals down south of Connecticut who are doing the "just you watch it hook in and hit us last minute". I feel like these guys are doing this for click bait. I could post doomsday model images too, but anyone who has followed me through at least 1 winter season knows that we don't just jump on the bandwagon because 1 model run showed something funky.... yeah we won't talk about that one February storm that went from over a foot to an inch in less than 6 hours just before it hit... I still have nightmares about that one.
Moral of the story is that I am sticking with my 1% chance New England gets hit with Hurricane Erin. I just don't see it in the cards.